Iranian lawmaker Mahmoud Nabavian has dismissed demands for a role in managing the Strait of Hormuz and a 20-year halt to uranium enrichment. The Iran uranium enrichment agreement market has dropped �...
A potential liquidation of $2.25 billion in crypto short positions looms if Bitcoin reaches $80,000, and the Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April market has seen odds decrease as this upward pressure buil�...
Israel’s haredi draft crisis is escalating and threatening Prime Minister Netanyahu’s coalition. The Polymarket contract on Netanyahu stepping down by June 30 trades at 5.5% YES, a slight decrea...
Bitcoin futures saw over $600M in long liquidations, a level not reached since the February 6 “Black Sunday II” market turmoil. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 by April 30 s...
Israel struck Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon, putting pressure on a fragile ceasefire. The ceasefire with Hezbollah by April 30 market sits at 100% YES. The ceasefire technically holds, but�...
The Iran conflict is moving energy-related prediction markets, with crude oil all-time high by April 30 sitting at 1.6% YES, down from 2% a day ago. Market reaction The April 30 crude oil market �...
The Kelp DAO exploit drained $292 million, leaving Aave with $196 million in bad debt. Ethereum reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026, sits at 4% YES, unchanged this week. Market reaction The exp�...
Baker Hughes has warned that the Strait of Hormuz could remain closed through 2026, and the Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 0.5% YES, unchanged from a day ago. �...
The IDF struck Al-Khaiam in southern Lebanon while fighting with Hezbollah continues. The market for an Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is at 100% YES. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasef�...
Bitcoin has reclaimed the -0.5 MVRV pricing band at $73,700, with this level now acting as support and a mean reversion target around $96,000. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by�...