September 27, 2026 | 06:12 AM

Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

UAE bans travel to Iran, Lebanon, Iraq amid rising regional tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?” is currently priced at 100% YES. This pricing reflects consistent expectations of military action by Iran against it...

US envoy submits nuclear amendments in Iran talks, signaling negotiation shift

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently unpriced, with potential movements expected. The market has no active sub-markets, and there has been no recent volume. ## K�...

44 Iranian seafarers killed amid US-Israeli conflict escalation

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iranian airspace closure markets have shown significant movement following the report of 44 Iranian seafarers’ deaths in the US-Israeli conflict. The May 8 closure market is at 2...

Iran airspace closure risk rises amid ongoing conflict, disrupts travel, energy markets

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for Iran closing its airspace by May 8 is priced at 35.5% YES, up from 14% in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, the May 31 closure market shows 62% YES, rising from 34%. Th�...

Fed’s Williams cites Iran war supply disruptions as inflation risk factor

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 market shows uncertainty, with no clear trend emerging. Fed Decision June and July market sees a decline to 2.4% YES for June cuts, while July h�...

Strive adds 444 BTC as treasury climbs to 15,000 Bitcoin

Crypto May 5, 2026

The latest purchase puts Strive near Riot and Coinbase among the largest public company Bitcoin treasuries. Strive added 444 Bitcoin to its treasury, lifting its total holdings to 15,000 BTC as the c�...

Strategy confirms no Bitcoin purchase this week, impacting market expectations

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Microstrategy Bitcoin Purchase Announcement” market, the odds of a YES resolution have dropped to 0.2%, down from 1% just 24 hours ago, and a significant decrease from ...

Iran attack on UAE spikes oil prices above $105, impacting crypto sentiment

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price markets for May 6 and May 7 currently show a 99.6% and 99.8% probability of being above $66,000, respectively, despite a slight decrease from previous levels. Ethere�...

US seeks approval to deploy hypersonic weapons amid Iran tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the market “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?”, the current pricing reflects a 35.5% likelihood of a YES outcome, up from 14% in the last 24 hours. This significant movemen...

SEC delays prediction market ETFs as issuers race to bring event contracts to retail

Crypto May 5, 2026

Prediction market ETFs from Roundhill, GraniteShares, and Bitwise remain under SEC review after the agency sought more details on mechanics and disclosures. The SEC delayed the launch of more than tw�...