The UK is working closely with the US on security measures as King Charles prepares for his US visit. Crude oil remains over $105 a barrel amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. The crude oil all time high �...
Israel dropped leaflets over Sour in southern Lebanon threatening residents, a move that strains the existing ceasefire. The market for a Trump endorsement of an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April�...
Israeli President Isaac Herzog is delaying a decision on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s pardon request and is instead pushing for a plea deal. The market for Netanyahu being out of power by Jun...
Netanyahu has ordered strikes on Hezbollah in response to ceasefire violations. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026 market holds at 100% YES, though active military operations complic�...
Lebanon has released the last of its Hezbollah detainees on minimal bail, and the Polymarket contract for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026 sits at 100% YES. Market reaction Both the A�...
Bitcoin is trading at $118,838.03 on April 26, 2026, and the Polymarket question “Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?” sits at near-zero odds with only six days left in the month. Market reacti...
Egypt’s economic outlook has been slightly trimmed amid ongoing disruptions from the Iran war, with Polymarket contracts on crude oil hitting $90 by end of June drawing increased trading interest. ...
The Ethereum Foundation is unstaking $48.9 million worth of ETH, raising questions about potential selling pressure. The Ethereum Price in 2026 market sits at 4% YES, unchanged from a week ago, sug�...
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi’s diplomatic tour to Pakistan, Oman, and Russia signals Tehran’s preference for regional alliances over direct engagement with Washington. The likelihood of...
Iran’s Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi is heading back to Pakistan before a diplomatic stop in Moscow. The market for whether no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting occurs by June 30, 2026, ...